called-shots

Called Shots: Week 6

The biggest riser of the past week is Starling Marte, who has outperformed Andrew McCutchen so far and is one off the league lead for stolen bases with 10 to go along with his 5 jacks.  He sports a .203 ISO and a .325/.390/.528 triple slash line.  Basically exactly what McCutchen’s owners hoped for when he was drafted in the first round this year.  Marte won’t keep up his .398 BABIP, but he could come close with his speed and solid line drive rate (20%).  He also has a 0% chance of maintaining his 20.8% HR/FB rate, so if there is antother owner out there ready to pony up for Marte and pay for the stats he’s already accumulated then I’d go ahead and trade him.  If not, it looks to be an enjoyable ride from here on out, although try not to let expectations get out of control.

Carlos Gomez similarly has seen his stock skyrocket in the past two weeks, as he has hit .457 with 4 HR, 6 SB and an incredible 1.407 OPS.  We all knew the potential was there after his breakout season last year, but not many people thought he could actually build on his 2012 campaign.  He can put up scary numbers if everything is finally clicking.

Fittingly, Justin Upton had his worst week of the season after moving to the top of these ranks.  He sits at #3 behind Starling Marte and Miguel Cabrera on ESPN’s Player Rater.  I’ll still take him over both players, although I can’t argue with Miguel at the top spot, as he is simply the most bankable hitter in baseball.

  1. Justin Upton – Even with the cool down period, he still holds a 1.037 OPS and is producing across the board.  I’ll still take him over every other player from here on out.
  2. Ryan Braun – Braun is back up over .300 but has done so on a .379 BABIP.  His strikeouts are still alarming, but he did at least steal his second base this past week.  While you still need to keep an eye on both of those stats, his LD% is quickly heading back in the right direction, nearing doubling in the past week as he is up to 13.7%.
  3. Miguel Cabrera – The scary part about his season last year is that he can still do so much more.  He looks to be doing just that.
  4. Carlos Gonzalez – Wow I wish I had this guy.  Could a 40/40 season be in sight?  All he did this past week was add to his already stellar season by hitting .458 with 2 HR, 1 SB and a 1.385 OPS.
  5. Joey Votto – I still love Joey, but I’m afraid his knee injury from last year may curb the 15 SB he used to be able to provide.  So far he does have one stolen base, and its still hard to argue with the reigning wOBA champ.
  6. Bryce Harper – Harper went ice cold this past week, but it should just be a small blip on the radar.
  7. Robinson Cano – Cano has outplayed Fielder to date, with a .325//376/.602 line with 8 HR.  I wanted to doubt how much power he could deliver this year, but his ISO has steadily increased from .214 to .231 to .238 and finally to .276 this year.  35+ HR seems like a distinct possibility.
  8. Prince Fielder – Prince continues to build upon what could be a career year.  His 3 HR this past week gives him 8 on the season to go along with a tidy triple-slash line of .304/.429/.571.
  9. Mike Trout – The real Mike Trout looks to finally be standing up.  He now has 5 HR, 5 SB and 20+ runs and ribs.  He hasn’t been elite, yet, but it is nice to see his skill set taking full effect.
  10. David Wright – Another great week from Wright, he has been seemingly slump-proof in 2013.
  11. Troy Tulowitzki – While you cannot complain with Tulowitzki’s MVP worthy season so far, I’m still going to.  Where are the steals Tulo?  I maintain you should trade him while he’s at his peak value.
  12. Andrew McCutchen – He’s still not getting a break on balls in play, so his .250 average has been all due to bad luck.  His line drives have stayed steady from last year at 21.6% and he’s hitting more fly balls than last year, but his HR/FB sits at 10.5% compared to 19.4% in 2012.  It should end up more like his 12.2% from 2011, which is also right at league average.
  13. Matt Kemp – I am going to declare Matt Kemp’s spring training over.  From here on out he will preform as expected.
  14. Jose Bautista – Bautista is slowly starting to right the ship, the time to buy low may be over soon, and may never have existed if his owner saw just how bad his luck was in April.
  15. Evan Longoria – Longo continues to put pressure on David Wright for the right to the second position in the third base ranks.  He is currently sitting on 7 HR and his owners could not be asking for more.  Ok maybe a few steals couldn’t hurt, but that really doesn’t seem to be a part of his game anymore.
  16. Ian Kinsler – Kinsler’s walk rate now matches is strikeout rate at 7.7%.  His power is in full bloom, but the steals are not quite yet as he has just three on the season.  A minor quibble when he’s hitting .323 with a .398 wOBA.
  17. Shin-Soo Choo – Apparently Choo is in a competition with Joey Votto for the top OBP on the Reds team, and there must be a healthy wager on it because Choo has been hit by a pitch an amazing 11 times so far this year, helping to fuel a .467 OBP (5 points higher than Votto).  This has made it much easier for Brandon Phillips to keep his permagrin going as he is reaping the RBI rewards.  Choo meanwhile is well on his way to his most productive season, there is nothing he is not doing for your team.
  18. Alex Rios – Rios took a step back this past week, with a .558 OPS.  He did add a homer and a stolen base, but this is not what owners had come to expect from Rios in the early going.  I’d try to grab him before he heats back up.
  19. Adam Jones – Jones doubled his walk rate in the last week, getting it up to a whopping 3.6%.  As bad as that is, it’s an encouraging stat.  His .331 batting average is going to come back to life, but you have to like the 4 SB to go along with 4 HR.
  20. Giancarlo Stanton – I would love to have Stanton for the stretch run.  Go make his owner an offer.
  21. Paul Goldschmidt
  22. Dustin Pedroia
  23. Starlin Castro
  24. Adrian Beltre
  25. Chris Davis
  26. Edwin Encarnacion
  27. Yoenis Cespedes
  28. Chase Utley
  29. Billy Butler
  30. Adrian Gonzalez
  31. Matt Holliday
  32. Jason Heyward
  33. Albert Pujols
  34. Buster Posey
  35. Brandon Phillips
  36. Ben Zobrist
  37. Anthony Rizzo
  38. Aramis Ramirez
  39. Todd Frazier
  40. David Ortiz
  41. Joe Mauer
  42. Pablo Sandoval
  43. Jason Kipnis
  44. Josh Hamilton
  45. Hanley Ramirez
  46. Jose Altuve
  47. BJ Upton
  48. Desmond Jennings
  49. Ryan Zimmerman
  50. Carlos Gomez
  51. Mike Morse
  52. Ian Desmond
  53. Allen Craig
  54. Yadier Molina
  55. Jimmy Rollins
  56. Alex Gordon
  57. Carlos Santana
  58. Matt Wieters
  59. Asdrubal Cabrera
  60. Dexter Fowler
  61. Wilin Rosario
  62. Manny Machado
  63. Jean Segura
  64. Starling Marte
  65. Jay Bruce
  66. Austin Jackson
  67. Hunter Pence
  68. Brett Lawrie
  69. Nick Markakis
  70. Everth Cabrera
  71. Alcides Escobar
  72. Angel Pagan
  73. Nori Aoki
  74. Jose Reyes
  75. Elvis Andrus
  76. Mark Trumbo
  77. Mark Reynolds
  78. Josh Willingham
  79. Chase Headley
  80. Carl Crawford
  81. Carlos Beltran
  82. Curtis Granderson
  83. Martin Prado
  84. Mike Napoli
  85. Paul Konerko
  86. Freddie Freeman
  87. Eric Hosmer
  88. Ike Davis
  89. Rickie Weeks
  90. Salvador Perez
  91. Corey Hart
  92. Will Middlebrooks
  93. Mike Moustakas
  94. Kevin Youkilis
  95. Jayson Werth
  96. Nelson Cruz
  97. Shane Victorino
  98. Coco Crisp
  99. Michael Cuddyer
  100. Michael Bourn
  101. Alejandro de Aza
  102. Erick Aybar
  103. Nick Swisher
  104. Nate McLouth
  105. Lucas Duda
  106. Lance Berkman
  107. Domonic Brown
  108. Carlos Quentin
  109. Ryan Howard
  110. Daniel Murphy
  111. Howard Kendrick
  112. Kyle Seager
  113. Zach Cozart
  114. Neil Walker
  115. Adam Dunn
  116. Chris Carter
  117. Adam LaRoche
  118. Victor Martinez
  119. Evan Gattis
  120. Jed Lowrie
  121. Dan Uggla
  122. Dayan Viciedo
  123. Pedro Alvarez
  124. David Freese
  125. J.J. Hardy
  126. Alfonso Soriano
  127. Josh Rutledge
  128. Matt Carpenter
  129. Kendrys Morales
  130. Andre Ethier
  131. Jonathan Lucroy
  132. Trevor Plouffe
  133. Marco Scutaro
  134. Torii Hunter
  135. Josh Reddick
  136. Justin Morneau
  137. Nate Schierholtz
  138. Jason Kubel
  139. Alexei Ramirez
  140. Michael Young
  141. Brandon Crawford
  142. Colby Rasmus
  143. Andrelton Simmons
  144. Chris Johnson
  145. Garret Jones
  146. J.P. Arencibia
  147. John Buck
  148. Brett Gardner
  149. Melky Cabrera
  150. Cody Ross

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